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St. Pierre or Serra??? Our UFC 83 predictions reveal all…

 

UFC 83 is fast approaching so it’s time to make our picks and try to win some money!  We hit a cold spot with our picks for UFC 82, but came back on UFN hitting some large underdogs (+200’s) and churning out a small profit.

UFC 83 presents some very interesting matchups because of the odds that have been posted.  Most of the fights are pretty lopsided, and there aren’t a whole lot of opportunities for small favorites and small underdogs.

Here’s MMAbettingblog.com’s predictions for UFC 83….

Georges St. Pierre (-500) vs. Matt Serra (+350)

•  This fight is going to be a great fight to watch.  There’s a nice storyline behind it with the huge upset from last time, and Matt Serra is out to prove he belongs at the top of this weightclass.  However, GSP seems to have kicked his game up a notch since they last met and he’s been operating on a whole ‘notha level.  With that said, I can’t possibly back either fighter in this bout with my hard earned cash.  St. Pierre is a great fighter no doubt.  He’s one of the top 3 in the world pound for pound.  But backing someone at -500 after they have already lost to someone is just not a smart bet.  Matt Serra looks to be a good play here, but I think there’s too much going against him.  GSP is hungrier than ever, fighting with the home crowd behind him, and he’s been training with more intensity for this fight than I’m sure he ever has before.  At +350 Serra would be my pick if I HAD to bet because of the value.  However, I’m gonna pass and say St. Pierre wins in the 2nd round.

• My Bet:  No bet

Rich Franklin (-350) vs. Travis Lutter (+285)

• This is the matchup that really intrigues me for UFC 83.  Rich Franklin is under an enormous amount of pressure to perform in this bout.  His last two losses to Anderson Silva really put a damper on him.  However after seeing how good Silva really is, there’s not as much of a knock on Rich anymore.  Travis Lutter on the other hand has amazing ground skills between his wrestling and jiu jitsu experience and will probably give Franklin some problems.  I don’t think these two guys are that far apart when it comes to talent.  At +285 Lutter is a great play here.

• My bet: $100 on Lutter at +285 to win $285

Michael Bisping (-350) vs. Charles McCarthy (+280)

•  Michael Bisping comes into this fight after a loss to Rashad Evans at UFC 78.  Before that, Bisping defeated Matt Hamil, Elvis Sinosic and Eric Schafer.  While Bisping has an amazing 14-1 record he has had some VERY close calls in his past wins, especially with Hamil.  I’m still not sold on Rashad as a big time fighter, so him losing to Evans is a slight knock on him.  Charles McCarthy is 10-4 in his career, with a 3-2 record in his past five fights.  Chuck is a heck of a fighter, who has a great ground game that might give Bisping some problems. At +280 Im gonna bite on Charles McCarthy and throw a few bucks on him.

• My bet: $50 on Charles McCarthy to win $140

Nate Quarry (-315) vs. Kalib Starnes (+250)

• I don’t really have an opinion one way or another on this fight.  I think the line is pretty much right on.  Quarry should win this fight pretty easily, but I don’t think there’s any value with Nate at -315.

• My bet: No bet

Mac Danzig (-550) vs. Mark Bocek (+400)

• No bet here either.  Mac will win this fight easily, but I’m not supporting anyone at -550 unless they’re fighting me.  It’s just bad betting to back favorites this big.

• My bet: No bet

 UFC 83 contest

•  We have a great UFC 83 contest setup with $500 in cash prizes setup for you guys to win!  Check it out now and get your picks in.  

$500 for YOU to win - UFC 83 picks contest!

Updated with winners (Sunday April 20th)

I’d like to personally thank everyone for participating in the contest.  We had a great turnout, and I’d like to do it again for UFC 84 if we can get the sponsors back on board.  A HUGE thanks goes out to BetUS.com who put up the prize money for the contest.  They are a great bunch of guys, and will take care of all your betting needs for sure.  Ok enough chatting, here’s the winners for the UFC 83 contest….

1st place - Griffin Lambert who won $3000 by betting his whole roll of $1000 on Jason Day at +300.  Nice pick.  Griffin wins a $250 betting account at BetUS.

2nd place - Winner gets second place  with a great pick throwing down his whole roll also, but this time on Rich Clementi.  Winner profited $1300 in the contest, good enough for 2nd place and a $150 betting account at BetUS.

3rd place - JB takes home 3rd place with a great 3-1 showing.  He hit on Franklin, Clementi and Goulet.  Overall he profited $535 on the contest.  JB gets a $50 bettnig account at BetUS.

Again thanks everyone for participating, it sure does make the fights more exciting with a little something on the line.  Hopefull we will be back with another contest for UFC 84.  Make sure you head over and check out BetUS.com now!

—————————————–

Alright MMA fans, we setup an awesome UFC 83 picks contest with $500 in cash prizes available to whoever finishes in the top 3. The best part of all is it’s free to enter.

How the contest works

• Each participant starts with $1000 in play money. You can use your $1000 to make “bets” on any fighter(s) you want for UFC 83. You may pick only one fight, or you you can bet on as many as you’d like. The 3 partcipants who finish with the most amount of money will be declared the winners and will receive betting accounts from BetUS.com with the following prizes…

• 1st place - $250
• 2nd place - $150
• 3rd place - $50

• Additional rules: In the event of a tie, the person who posts their picks first will be the winner. All picks will be based on the lines posted on this page. They will not change. All players must sign up for an account at BetUS.com. You do not have to deposit, but you must have an account. You may only make one post per BetUS account. All IP addresses will be checked, so do not post multiple times….

How to get started

• 1. Sign up for an account at BetUS.com. (takes about 2 minutes) You do not have to deposit money, you just need to have an account.

• 2. Post your picks in the comment section of this post. You may bet up to $1000 total for all of your picks combined. Also post your account number from BetUS.com. You may not enter a post without your account number (please dont post a password, just the account number).

Odds for UFC 83 picks contest

• Georges St. Pierre (-500)
• Matt Serra (+350)

• Rich Franklin (-400)
• Travis Lutter (+300)

• Nate Quarry (-280)
• Kalib Starnes +200)

• Michael Bisping (-300)
• Charles McCarthy (+230)

• Mac Danzig (-500)
• Mark Bocek (+350)

• Jason Macdonald (-165)
• Joe Doerksen (+135)

• Sam Stout (-160)
• Rich Clementi (+130)

• Kuniyoshi Hironaka (-220)
• Jonathan Goulet (+175)

• Alan Belcher (-400)
• Jason Day (+300)

• Demian Maia (-200)
• Ed Herman (+160)

• Brad Morris (+190)
• Cain Velasquez (-240)

Get started now, head over to BetUS.com. Sign up for your account quickly and come back here to post your picks. If you need a primer on how odds work, please check out our page here on how fight betting works. Good luck with your picks!

Ultimate Fight Night 13 picks and predictions

I’ve been going over the UFN 13 odds for the past two hours and I can’t understand how some of these underdogs have such good odds.  I really can’t find value in any of the favorites for the night besides Din Thomas, so this looks like its going to be a great night for betting the dogs…. The following odds are from Bodog

Joe Lauzon (+160) vs. Kenny Florian (-200)

•  Joe Lauzon is getting some great odds here at +160.  He might have big ears, but the kid can fight.  Kenny Florian is grabbing the majority of action in this bout at the sportsbooks, so I like siding with Joe here for that reason as well…  I dont put as much stock into Joe training with BJ Penn as the others bettors seem to be, but I think it should help him a bit.  These are some solid odds on Joe…

• My bet: $50 on Joe Lauzon (+160) to win $80

Karo Parisyan (-180) vs. Thiago Alves (+150)

•  I’ll conceed that I think Karo is a better fighter than Thiago here.  But to have Thiago at +150 is giving Karo way too much credit.  Thiago has some solid standup game and his kicks are very, very solid.  I think at +150 Thiago is a great bet…

• My bet: $50 on Thiago Alves(+150) to win $75

Din Thomas (-180) vs Josh Neer (+150)

•  Din Thomas has a great ground game, especially his jiu jitsu game.  His takedowns and standup are also very solid.  I think he’s better than Josh Neer in pretty much every technical category.  I figured Din was going to be a -220 or so favorite for this fight, so a -180 line offers some good value for us.

• My bet: $100 on Din Thomas(-180) to win $55

Other good bets

• James Irvin +190
• Anthony Johnson +205 (How is Tommy Speer a -265 fav)
•  Tim Boetsch +145

Bet on UFN 13

• Add some fun to your fight night tonight and bet on Ultimate Fight Night 13.  This is going to be a huge night for us bettors.  We recommend Bodog as our #1 rated sportsbook.  Check it out now

20 gambling terms every MMA bettor should know

MMA Betting Blog has put together a list of some of the main sports gambling terms that apply to betting on MMA fights.  These will help clear up any questions you might have when it comes to betting jargon.

• Bookie - Usually a person who accepts local bets.  Sometimes people on the web refer to sportsbooks as bookies.  This is more prevalent in European areas.

• Chalk - The favorite in the fight, or the guy at - odds.

• Dog - The underdog in a fight, or the guy at + odds. Underdogs can potentially have negative odds if its something like -115 vs. -105.

• Edge - Our competitive advantage when betting on a fight.  Sometimes this is because of knowing more information than the linesmaker, and sometimes this is because of the odds posted for the fight.

• Even money (EVN) - When a bet’s odds are 1:1 or +100 this is even money.  You aren’t paying any juice on the bet.

• Favorite - The favorite is the fighter that is expected to win the bout.  The sportsbooks designate this fighter with a negative sign infront of the moneyline.  (Ex. Chuck Liddell -145)

• Handicapping - This is the research and strategy you put into making a bet.  There are many different ways to handicap a fight.  Most bettors use a few methods and stick with what works for them.

• Handle - This is the amount of total bets taken on a fight or event.  This usually refers to the total amount of bets that the sportsbook “handles”.

• Limit - The maximum bet that an online sportsbook will allow a bettor to place on a fight.

• Line - Another name for the odds for a fight.

• Moneyline - Odds for MMA fights are expressed in terms of money.  So a moneyline of -145 means that for every $1.45 you bet, you would win $1.

• Odds - A numerical value determined by the sportsbook that shows the likelihood of each fighter winning the fight.

• Opened (opening line) - This is the odds that were set when the line was first put out for betting.

• Parlay - A combination of bets in which all of the fighters must win in order for you to win the bet.  In return, you get better odds for your bet, such as 6-1 on a 3 team (fighter) parlay.

• Prop bet - A specific wager on an outcome in a fight.  Take for example in boxing, there are prop bets on which round the fighter will end the bout.  If you choose the round correctly you get paid out at higher odds than a normal bet.

• Push (draw) - When a fight does not have a winner declared it’s marked as a draw, and all bets are refunded.

• Sportsbook - The website or company that takes your bets for fights.

• Square - Someone who is a total beginner at sports betting.  They usually bet on favorites 95% of the time.

• Totals bet - In MMA betting you may bet on the over/under the amount of rounds you think a fight will last.  The sportsbook sets a total, and you then bet over or under than number.

• Underdog - The fighter who has + odds.  This means if you bet on the fighter and they win, you’ll receive more than your original bet back.  So if you bet $100 on Tito Ortiz at +135 and he wins, you’ll win $135 in profit.

For more great advice, be sure to check out our MMA betting tips section.

WEC 33 odds are finally up - Brian Stann and Doug Marshall headline

I’ve been looking around for the odds for WEC 33 for the past few days and have not seen them anywhere.  They were up a few weeks ago, but they took ‘em down for a while.  The event is tonight, March 26th live on Versus at 9 PM ET.  The following odds are from Bodog

WEC 33 betting odds 

• Brian Stann  (-180)
• Doug Marshall  (+150)

• Ed Ratcliff  (EV)
• Marcus Hicks (-130)

• Tim McKenzie  (-140)
• Steve Cantwell  (+115)

• Hirumitsu Miura  (-170)
• Blas Avena  (+140)

• Brock Larson  (-300)
• John Alessio  (+240)

• Rich Crunkilton  (-240)
• Sergio Gomez  (+190)

• Kenji Osawa  (-120)
• Chris Manuel  (+110)

• Chael Sonnen  (-490)
• Bryan Baker  (+290)

• Logan Clark  (-325)
• ScottHarper  (+250)

Some notes

•  I don’t have any picks for this event as it really doesn’t fit well with the way I bet on MMA.  The guys over at MMA Analyst have a good preview of the event if you wanna check it out.  If you need to find a good sportsbook to bet on WEC 33 or any MMA events, make sure you check out our MMA sportsbook review.  It will surely point you in the right direction.

Roy Jones is a HUGE favorite over UFC champ Anderson Silva

(Photo Credit : MMA Weekly)

The line is finally out. If Anderson Silva and Roy Jones Jr. go head to head this year in a boxing match, expect to lay some heavy chalk if you are backing Mr. Jones. The guys at Bodog took the reigns and have put out the initial betting line for the event.

• Roy Jones Jr (-2800)
• Anderson Silva (+1400)

Yikes! I knew this was going to be a huge lopsided line, but I didn’t really think it was going to be -2800. If you’re unfamiliar with betting lines, this equals out to Roy Jones being a 28-1 favorite. The average betting line for a fight usually ranges from -200 to about -500.

The odds for the fight are only good if the bout takes place in 2008. There’s also a $100 limit on the fight at Bodog. Im sure we’ll see some other online sportsbooks follow suit and post a line this week as well. Stay tuned…

Leave a comment about the fight/odds. There’s probably some diverse opinions out there about this fight.

UFC 84 odds - Sean Sherk checks in as a big underdog to BJ Penn

The World Lightweight Championship will be on the line in Las Vegas at the MGM Grand on May 24th when BJ Penn and Sean Sherk square off at UFC 84.  BJ Penn is the favorite for this bout at (-210) while Sean Sherk is listed as the underdog at (+170).  While the main bout is sure to draw some action from bettors, household names Tito Ortiz (fighting Lyoto Machida) and Wanderlei Silva (fighting Keith Jardine) are also slated to be in action on the main card.   Full card odds are not available yet at the sportsbooks.  I’ll update this page when they are…

UFC 84 odds

BJ Penn vs. Sean Sherk odds

• BJ Penn  (-210)
• Sean Sherk (+170)

Lyoto Machida vs. Tito Ortiz

• Lyoto Machida  (-220)
• Tito Ortiz  (+180)

Wanderlei Silva vs. Keith Jardine

• Wanderlei Silva  (-155)
• Keith Jardine  (+125)

Bet on UFC 84

• Bet on UFC 84 today at one of our top rated sportsbooks.  It’s very easy and safe to deposit with.  Check out our ratings now!

Frank Shamrock a -220 favorite? - Strike Force 8 odds

Frank Shamrock and Cung Le are entering StrikeForce 8 as the headlining bout on March 29th.  I’m a bit surprised that Frank is listed at (-220) for this fight, because I really think he should be about a (-185) or so favorite.  Not a huge discrepancy, but I think odds wise the value kind of lies with Cung Le in this bout.  Here are the full odds for StrikeForce 8 courtesy of Bookmaker.com …

Frank Shamrock vs. Cung Le

• Frank Shamrock  (-220)
• Cung Le  (+180)

Jake Shields vs. Drew Fickett

• Jake Shields  (-450)
• Drew Fickett  (+370)

Nick Diaz vs. Jae Suk Lim

• Nick Diaz  (-400)
• Jae Suk Lim  (+320)

Joey Villasenor vs. Evangelista Santos

• Joey Villasenor  (-250)
• Evangelista Santos  (+200)

Gilbert Melendez vs. Gabe Lemley

• Gilbert Melendez  (-600)
• Gabe Lemley  (+450)

Bet on StrikeForce 8

•  You can bet on StrikeForce 8 today at any one of our top rated sportsbooks.  Check out our ratings and reviews.

UFC Fight Night 13 odds released - Lauzon and Florian highlight the night

UFC Fight Night 13 takes place on Wednesday April 2nd at 7PM on Spike TV. This card is loaded for a Fight Night card and looks like it will have some good odds for us to take advantage of. Be on the lookout for our picks closer to April 2nd. Here are the odds posted for Fight Night 13.

Kenny Florian vs. Joe Lauzon odds

• Florian (-220)
• Lauzon (+180)

Karo Parisyan vs. Thiago Alves odds

• Parisyan (-180)
• Alves (+150)

Spencer Fisher vs. Marcus Aurelio odds

• Fisher (-125)
• Aurelio (-105)

Looking to bet on UFC Fight Night 13?

• Check out our top ranked online sportsbooks now! Ranked on the basis of safety, best odds and easiest deposit methods, we have you covered with our UFC sportsbook guide.

DREAM 1 odds are out - Cro Cop listed as a huge favorite!

Dream is the newest MMA organization on the scene.  Developed by the owners of K-1 and former PRIDE executives, DREAM is setting up their first event DREAM 1 this Saturday, March 15th.  One of DREAM’s big name fighters for the event is Mirko “Cro Cop” Filipovic.  Cro Cop is listed as an enormous -1600 favorite over Tatsuya Mizuno.

The odds for DREAM 1 are now out at almost every MMA sportsbook.  The following odds are from BetUS and Bookmaker.

DREAM 1 betting odds

Jz Calvan vs. Shinya Aoki

• Calvan  (-175)
• Aoki  (+145)

Tatsuya Kawajiri vs. Kultar Gill

• Kawajiri  (-700)
• Gill  (+500)

Joachim Hansen vs. Koutetsu Boku

• Hansen  (-240)
• Boku  (+190)

Mirko Cro Cop Filipovic vs. Tatsuya Mizuno

• Cro Cop (-1600)
• Tatsuya Mizuno  (+800)

Mitsuhiro Ishida vs. Bukyung Jung

• Ishida  (-650)
• Jung  (+450

Artur Umakhanov vs. Katsuhiko Nagata

• Umakhanov  (-200)
• Nagata  (+160)

Andre Dida vs. Eddie Alvarez

• Dida (-140)
• Alvarez (+110)

Hayato Sakurai vs. Hidetaka Monma

• Sakurai  (-800)
• Monma  (+600)

Luis Buscape vs. Kazuyuki Miyata

• Buscape  (-200)
• Miyata  (+160)

Bet on DREAM 1

• I think BetUS has the best odds for DREAM 1.  You can deposit easily with a credit card or through your bank account.  We’ve rated BetUS as a very high quality MMA sportsbook.  Go to BetUS now or read our honest review of the BetUS sportsbook.

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