Strikeforce at the Mansion 2: Predictions

September 18, 2008

Joe Riggs vs. Kazuo Misaki

In what is easily the most competitive fight of the night, former UFC standout Joe “Diesel” Riggs (28-10-1) is going to have his hands full with Japanese star and judo black belt Kazuo Misaki (20-8-2).

Misaki has not always been the most consistent fighter, but he has a number of great wins, including a unanimous decision over Dan Henderson, a guillotine choke over the notoriously hard to finish Akira Shoji, and a dominating performance against Yoshihiro Akiyama, although that one was unfortunately changed to a no contest following an illegal blow.

This matchup promises to be another installment in the eternal series of striker vs. grappler. There can be no denial that Riggs has better standup, both in terms of technique, and punching power. Similarly, there is no debate to be had about who is the better grappler. Riggs, while a decent wrestler, is a fish out of water on the ground, while Misaki is a world class judo player with extremely slick submissions. I see Riggs controlling the fight early, landing some hard shots from a distance, but ultimately Misaki should be able to close the gap to the clinch, trip Riggs up, and secure an arm. Misaki by submission late in round 2.

Josh Thomson vs. Ashe Bowman

A huge mismatch, as the talented and versatile Josh “The Punk” Thomson (15-2) takes on the relatively unknown Ashe “The Machine” Bowman. Thomson, who trains out of AKA, has fairly good standup, great cardio, and a dangerous submission attack. Bowman has a pretty good ground game, decent hands, and likes to look for leg locks/ heel hooks. Look for Thomson to set up a takedown with his punching before quickly wrapping Bowman up for the submission win in round 1.

Terry Martin vs. Cory Devela

UFC veteran Terry Martin (17-6) will square off with Corey “The One” Devela (9-2).

Devela has been hot, going on a seven fight win streak, including a victory over Joe “Diesel” Riggs. His only two losses have been against game opponents, in Ed Herman and Matt Horwich. Corey will come into this fight with a big height and reach advantage over Martin. Corey is a very good wrestler, grappler, with a strong muay thai base.

Martin is always fun to watch, he brings an all or nothing attitude to the fight. He is short and compact, but carries very heavy hands and likes to throw them. Terry has good boxing and wrestling skills. Martin has faced very tough competition over the years and taller opponents such as Devela, so he will know what he needs to bring into the fight. He has lost three out of his last four fights.

Look for Martin to come out and put a stop to Devela’s win streak. I see Martin keeping the fight standing, closing the gap between them, and out striking Devela to a split decision win.

Mitsuhiro Ishida vs. Justin Wilcox

Pride veteran Mitsuhiro “Endless Fighter” Ishida (16-4-1) will fight on U.S. soil for the first time against Justin “The Silverback” Wilcox (5-2).

Wilcox trains with AKA, and brings a strong wrestling game (former NCAA wrestler and body builder) a killer right hand, and like to take the fight to the ground.

Ishida also a very strong wrestler, who likes to score ponits using it and controlling his opponent from the top. Ishida has superb cardio and can keep a high pace through out the entire fight if needed. He has also faced much tougher competition and is best known for being the first fighter to defeat former Strikeforce lightweight champion Gilbert Melendez.

I see Ishida controlling the fight scoring on take-downs and and landing cleaner strikes with a unanimous decision win.

Written by Pat · Filed Under General MMA betting, UFC betting

Ed Herman: Profile

September 18, 2008

Ed Herman

Nickname- “Short Fuse”
Born- Vancouver, WA, USA
Age- 27
Height- 6′2″ (188 cm)
Weight- 185 lbs. (84 kg)
MMA Record- 16-5-0
Fighting out of- Portland, Oregon
Strengths- Wrestling, clinch, ground & pound
Team/Association- Team Quest

Last 3 fights

Loss against Demian Maia via triangle choke at UFC 83
Win against Joe Doerksen via KO at UFC 78
Win against Scott Smith via rear naked choke at UFC 72

Notable wins

Dave Menne
Scott Smith
Joe Doerksen

Written by Pat · Filed Under MMA Fighters

UFC Fight Night 15 updated odds

September 17, 2008

Sportsbook.com Odds

Nate Diaz vs Josh Neer

Nate Diaz (-270)
Josh Neer (+210)

Betus.com Odds

Nate Diaz (-200)
Josh Neer (+150)

Clay Guida vs Mac Danzig

Betus.com Odds

Clay Guida (-155)
Mac Danzig (+125)

Sportsbook.com Odds

Clay Guida (-145)
Mac Danzig (+115)

Ed Herman vs Alan Belcher

Betus.com Odds

Ed Herman (-240)
Alan Belcher (+190)

Sportsbook.com Odds

Ed Herman (-275)
Alan Belcher (+215)

Houston Alexander vs Eric Schafer

Betus.com Odds

Houston Alexander (-230)
Eric Schafer (+180)

Sportsbook.com Odds

Houston Alexander (-260)
Eric Schafer (+200)

Alessio Sakara vs Joe Vedepo

Betus.com Odds

Alessio Sakara (-140)
Joe Vedepo (+110)

Wilson Gouveia vs Ryan Jensen

Betus.com Odds

Wilson Gouveia (-400)
Ryan Jensen (+300)

Joe Lauzon vs Kyle Bradley

Betus.com Odds

Joe Lauzon (-600)
kyle Bradley (+450)

Jason Brilz vs Brad Morris

Betus.com Odds

Jason Brilz (-230)
Brad Morris (+180)

Drew McFedries vs Mike Massenzio

Betus.com Odds

Drew McFedries (-240)
Mike Massenzio (+190)

Dan Miller vs Rob Kimmons

Betus.com Odds

Dan Miller (-125)
Rob Kimmons (-105)

Written by Pat · Filed Under General MMA betting, UFC betting

Parlay Picks for UFC Fight Night 15

September 17, 2008

Favorite picks

Betus.com Odds

Ed Herman @ (-240)
Joe Lauzon @ (-600)
Wilson Gouveia @ (-400)
Houston Alexander @ (-230)

Put these 4 fighters down for a parlay @ Betus.com with a bet of $50 and win $98.21, with a bet of $ 100 and win $196.42.

Underdog pick

Mac Danzig @ Betus.com (+125) with a straight bet of $50 and win $62.50. I really didnt think Danzig would be an underdog in this fight, this is a good bet to take.

Another Scenario is putting Danzig in on your favorite bet to raise your return. I Like