The aftermath of UFC 74
August 26, 2007
I’m the first person to admit when I messed up. Last night, I definitely messed up. The total damage for the night was 0-3 and -11.2 units. When I lose bets, I always make sure that I at least learn something from the loss, otherwise it’s bound to happen again. I’ll go over a few of my thoughts from the night.
UFC 74 picks
August 23, 2007
I’ve been digging through the UFC messageboards and blogs all week looking to find the public’s opinion on Saturday’s UFC 74 fights. After many hours of research, I’ve narrowed down the field and made my picks for the event. In case you don’t understand my betting style, you should check out my MMA betting strategy. Without further delay, here’s what I’m betting on UFC 74.
Randy Couture (-105) vs. Gabriel Gonzaga (-125)
- This is the main bout of the night, so it’s getting most of the attention from hardcore UFC fans, as well as passive fans. From all the research I’ve done this week, Gonzaga is getting most of the action. This is partially due to his name, and also because he pulled off a big win last time out and most bettors are scared to bet against him again. Gonzaga is the favorite in this matchup at -125. Usually in sports when the underdog is getting more attention than the favorite, it usually is a great situation to bet on the favorite. I believe this is one of those situations.
My bet : I’m betting 3+ Units on Gonzaga to win 3 Units at -125 at Bodog
Kendall Grove (-240) vs. Patrick Cote (+190)
- This might be my favorite matchup of the night. Grove is a very underrated fighter, who the public seems to be looking over in this bout. I’ve seen a large amount of people backing Cote in this fight as a +190 underdog because they feel Cote is actually better than Grove. I’ve been following Grove for the last few months and the reports I’m reading have been very promising about his improvements. I think there’s too much interest out there in Cote right now from the public as a +190 underdog.
My bet : 7.2 Units on Grove at -240 to win 3 Units at BetUS.com
Georges St. Pierre (-280) vs. Josh Koscheck (+220)
- I told myself I was going to lay off this bout, but being the degenerate that I am, I found some good evidence to make a bet. More than likely, St Pierre will win this fight. However in sports betting when you see good value you MUST play it, because over time you will profit from betting on the value plays. In this situation Koscheck is a value play for me. I think there are enough questions about St. Pierre’s ability to defend Koscheck on the ground to warrant a small wager on Josh.
My bet : 1 Unit to win 2.2 Units on Josh Koscheck at +220 at BetUS.com
I will be passing on the other bouts for now. If I decide to add some wagers, they will be added to this post. Good luck everyone with your wagers. Feel free to leave some comments about your picks…
Bet these fights at Bodog and BetUS.com
-Justin
UFC betting article and updated odds for UFC 74
August 14, 2007
I updated the UFC 74 odds page with new odds from BetUS and Bodog.
————
Eric Foster, a writer for the new FIGHT magazine did a column about MMA betting. It’s a solid piece for an intro to MMA betting. I went over most of the same points in my how to bet on UFC fights article.
The exciting sport of mixed-martial arts is exploding in popularity and so is interest in wagering on the fights. Until you try it, you have no idea how much having “action” on a fight can enhance the event - even if it’s only a few dollars at risk.
WEC 29 betting results
August 6, 2007
WEC 29 had a great showing last night in Las Vegas. There were 8 bouts altogether, but most online sportsbooks only had odds posted for 4 of the fights. I laid off the action last night, but it was a great night for favorite bettors. The faves went 4-0 on the night, which also included a -120 winner. I have a feeling the books took a bit of a hit from MMA bettors on this event.
Paul Filho (-850) def. Joe Doerksen (+550)
Carlos Condit (-120) def. Brock Larson (-110)
Jamie Varner (-265) def. Sherron Leggett (+205)
Jeff Curran (-330) vs. Stephen Ledbetter (+260)
Travis Lutter injured, off UFC 74 card
August 3, 2007
Travis Lutter is officially off the card for UFC 74. Per his personal blog Lutter said…
Saturday July 28th I was training and re-agrivated a old injury. After giving my neck a chance to heal I decided I was not going to be healed in time for the fight. I would like to thank all the people that were helping me prepare for this fight and I look forward to fighting in the near future.
Travis Lutter
No odds were listed yet for his fight. Ill update when I know who will be his replacement.
WEC odds for Sunday August 5th event
August 3, 2007
Odds have just been posted at Bodog for WEC on Sunday night at The Hard Rock Hotel in Las Vegas. They haven’t moved much since the initial posting, so I doubt they’ll move much more.
Paul Filho (-850) vs. Joe Doerksen (+550) - Middleweight championship
Carlos Condit (-120) vs. Brock Larson (-110) - Welterweight championship
Jamie Varner (-265) vs. Sherron Leggett (+205) - Lightweight championship
Jeff Curran (-330) vs. Stephen Ledbetter (+260) - Lightweight championship
You can bet on these bouts at Bodog today. There’s a $500 max bet on each fight.
UFC 74 - early pick discussions
August 1, 2007
UFC 74 is just over three weeks away, and the excitement is beginning to build in the forums and blogs around the Internet. While only a few of the UFC 74 fights have odds listed, there is already a large number of people posting their opinions and picks.
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